Mura 1-2 Rogaska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

Mura
1-2 HT 0-2
Rogaska
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
29%
+10.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rogaska EU Bookmakers 50%
+16% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.48/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+32% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Rogaska
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2024 Mura Mura 2-2 HT 1-1 Rogaska Rogaska SLVNK
17.03.2024 Rogaska Rogaska 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
07.12.2023 Mura Mura 3-1 HT 1-1 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
23.09.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 0-2 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-2
AWAY Rogaska
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mura vs Rogaska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rogaska nicked a narrow win over Mura 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Rogaska found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mura had 54% of the ball to Rogaska's 46%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mura had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Mura and 0.75 for Rogaska.

What was the final score of Mura vs Rogaska?

Mura 1-2 Rogaska in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Rogaska?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rogaska win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mura 39%, draw 21%, Rogaska 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rogaska) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rogaska) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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