Al Ahli Jeddah 5-1 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.79
2-3 Goals
37%
2.41
4-5 Goals
29%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
3.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
78%
-12.8pp
21%
Draw
13%
+8.1pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
2.21/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.36
-18% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -26%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
458 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.2 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Abha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2023 Abha Abha 0-6 HT 0-5 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 HT 1-1 Abha Abha SAKK
22.05.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 1-1 Abha Abha SUUD
21.11.2021 Abha Abha 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
25.05.2021 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
19.01.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-0 HT 2-0 Abha Abha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
5-1
AWAY Abha
3.37 xG 0.77
76% Ball Possession 24%
24 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
620 Passes 142
92% Pass Accuracy 68%
55 Box Touches 3
23 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah swept aside Abha 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 76% of the ball to Abha's 24%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 3.37 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.00 for Abha.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?

Al Ahli Jeddah 5-1 Abha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 65%, draw 21%, Abha 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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