Al Hazm 1-1 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 38%
-20% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.29/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.96
-28% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.6 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hazm
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Riyadh
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.27 xG 0.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
435 Passes 461
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
03.04.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD1
31.10.2022 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
1-1
AWAY Al Riyadh
0.80 xG 0.35
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
514 Passes 275
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm and Al Riyadh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Hazm had 63% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 37%, shots finished 11-2, expected goals 0.80 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Hazm had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Hazm and 0.33 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Al Riyadh?

Al Hazm 1-1 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 35%, draw 29%, Al Riyadh 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Riyadh), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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