Al Taawon vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Taawon v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Taawon vs Al Shabab Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Al Taawon
SUUD
0-3
HT 0-1
Al Taawon
SUUD
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
3-1
HT 2-1
Al Taawon
SUUD
1-3
HT 0-2
Al Taawon
SUUD
Al Taawon 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Taawon squeezed past Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Al Taawon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Al Taawon had 36% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 64%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.99 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Taawon's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Taawon and 1.17 for Al Shabab Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Al Taawon 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 33%, draw 27%, Al Shabab Riyadh 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) went the other way.