Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 May 2024

Deportivo La Guaira
2-1 HT 0-0
Hermanos Colmenarez
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo La Guaira vs Hermanos Colmenarez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.71
Over 2.5
32%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.8pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
55%
+13.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
45%
-13.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.8pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Guaira v Hermanos Colmenarez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
2.07/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.86
-8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.2
17.5 Crosses 11.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Deportivo La Guaira vs Hermanos Colmenarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
404 Passes 310
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.05.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
03.03.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
16.09.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
25.02.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
15.10.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
08.10.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN

Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Hermanos Colmenarez — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-1
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
2.61 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
352 Passes 278
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira squeezed past Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 55% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 45%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.61 to 0.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo La Guaira's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.33 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 42%, draw 33%, Hermanos Colmenarez 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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