Throttur Reykjavik 2-4 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.96/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.82
-14% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Grindavik
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 3-2 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
29.08.2024 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 1-2 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
30.06.2024 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
31.08.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 5-0 HT 3-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
30.06.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 1-2 HT 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
19.08.2021 Grindavik Grindavik 2-1 HT 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
2-4
AWAY Grindavik
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Throttur Reykjavik vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grindavik beat Throttur Reykjavik 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Throttur Reykjavik at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Throttur Reykjavik had 66% of the ball to Grindavik's 34%, shots finished 20-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Throttur Reykjavik had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Throttur Reykjavik and 1.17 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of Throttur Reykjavik vs Grindavik?

Throttur Reykjavik 2-4 Grindavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Reykjavik vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Throttur Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Throttur Reykjavik 54%, draw 24%, Grindavik 22%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
18 May 2025
17:00 Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik Analysis →