Throttur Reykjavik 3-2 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.3pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 18%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.73
-63% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Reykjavik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Grindavik
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2024 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 1-2 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
30.06.2024 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
31.08.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 5-0 HT 3-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
30.06.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 1-2 HT 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
19.08.2021 Grindavik Grindavik 2-1 HT 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
10.06.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
POST-MATCH Throttur Reykjavik vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over Grindavik 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Throttur Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Throttur Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Throttur Reykjavik and 1.33 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of Throttur Reykjavik vs Grindavik?

Throttur Reykjavik 3-2 Grindavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Reykjavik vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Throttur Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Throttur Reykjavik 56%, draw 22%, Grindavik 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Throttur Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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