Stjarnan 3-2 İB Vestmannaeyjar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.9pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 20%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.84/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.06
-66% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
4W-0D-2L
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.49 xG 0.37
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
266 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 17
6 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
05.08.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 0-2 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
13.05.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 1-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
19.04.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-0 HT 0-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZK
28.08.2022 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 3-1 HT 2-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.05.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-0 HT 0-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
22.02.2020 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-2 HT 0-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZLK
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs İB Vestmannaeyjar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan squeezed past İB Vestmannaeyjar 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stjarnan and 0.83 for İB Vestmannaeyjar.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Stjarnan 3-2 İB Vestmannaeyjar in the Iceland - League Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 55%, draw 19%, İB Vestmannaeyjar 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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