Valur 4-0 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.16
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-21.5pp
22%
Draw
10%
+12.0pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
3.06/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.68
+18% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +58%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fjölnir
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
27.07.2020 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-3 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
22.02.2020 Valur Valur 2-3 HT 0-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
25.08.2018 Valur Valur 5-3 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
04.06.2018 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
17.09.2017 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 2-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
24.06.2017 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-1 HT 1-0 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
4-0
AWAY Fjölnir
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valur vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur cruised past Fjölnir 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 69% of the ball to Fjölnir's 31%, shots finished 21-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Valur and 1.50 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Valur vs Fjölnir?

Valur 4-0 Fjölnir in the Iceland - League Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Valur 60%, draw 22%, Fjölnir 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZLK More Iceland - League Cup
8 Feb 2025
00:00 Stjarnan vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Analysis →
16:00 Breidablik vs Fylkir Analysis →
17:00 Throttur Reykjavik vs Grindavik Analysis →
18:00 Fram Reykjavik vs Völsungur Analysis →
18:00 Afturelding vs Thor Akureyri Analysis →