Afturelding 4-0 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.6pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
13.07.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 0-3 HT 0-3 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
09.05.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 4-2 HT 1-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
16.07.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-3 HT 1-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
12.05.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 1-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
27.08.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-0 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
24.06.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 4-1 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding ran out comfortable winners over Thor Akureyri 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Afturelding as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afturelding had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Afturelding and 1.50 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Thor Akureyri?

Afturelding 4-0 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - League Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 46%, draw 25%, Thor Akureyri 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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