Thor Akureyri 2-4 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+4.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.35/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.86
-24% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +99%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Keflavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
31.07.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 3-2 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
25.05.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
12.02.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 4-1 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
07.09.2020 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-3 HT 1-3 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
21.02.2015 Keflavik Keflavik 2-1 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
20.07.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik saw off Thor Akureyri 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Keflavik made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thor Akureyri and 1.67 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?

Thor Akureyri 2-4 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 36%, draw 24%, Keflavik 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
18 May 2025
21:00 Throttur Reykjavik vs Grindavik Analysis →