Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.53
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.5pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.44/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.59
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Corners 2
07.07.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
18.02.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu and Arsenal Sarandi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Maipu carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 1.00 for Arsenal Sarandi.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 58%, draw 24%, Arsenal Sarandi 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Maipu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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