Sydney United 1-0 St George City FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St George City FA EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.58/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.59
+25% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 18.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY St George City FA
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 2.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
360 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 1-0 HT 0-0 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
18.05.2024 St George City FA St George City FA 2-1 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
20.08.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 0-2 HT 0-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
06.05.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs St George City FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United edged past St George City FA 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sydney United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sydney United and 1.00 for St George City FA.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs St George City FA?

Sydney United 1-0 St George City FA in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs St George City FA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 41%, draw 26%, St George City FA 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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