Sydney United 1-0 St George City FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.6pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY St George City FA EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.45/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.81
-29% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY St George City FA
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 2.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
360 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 St George City FA St George City FA 2-1 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
20.08.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 0-2 HT 0-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
06.05.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs St George City FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United nicked a narrow win over St George City FA 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Sydney United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, St George City FA led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sydney United and 1.33 for St George City FA.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs St George City FA?

Sydney United 1-0 St George City FA in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs St George City FA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 39%, draw 26%, St George City FA 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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