Sutherland Sharks 3-1 St. George Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 27%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.08/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.31
-96% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutherland Sharks
1W-0D-1L
AWAY St. George Saints
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 2
18.05.2024 St. George Saints St. George Saints 3-1 HT 2-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
14.06.2014 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 2-1 HT 0-1 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sutherland Sharks vs St. George Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutherland Sharks got the better of St. George Saints 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sutherland Sharks as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sutherland Sharks and 2.00 for St. George Saints.

What was the final score of Sutherland Sharks vs St. George Saints?

Sutherland Sharks 3-1 St. George Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutherland Sharks vs St. George Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutherland Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sutherland Sharks 48%, draw 23%, St. George Saints 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutherland Sharks) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sutherland Sharks) ✗ BTTS No
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