APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.17
Over 2.5
69%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.7pp
31%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.7pp
69%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.2pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.71
-5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2W-0D-1L
AWAY NWS Spirit
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.58 xG 0.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
316 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
18.05.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-2 HT 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
19.08.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 2-1 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
06.05.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 HT 3-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers nicked a narrow win over NWS Spirit 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 0.67 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs NWS Spirit?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 56%, draw 22%, NWS Spirit 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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