Wollongong Wolves 1-2 Manly United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

Wollongong Wolves
1-2 HT 1-1
Manly United
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wollongong Wolves v Manly United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Manly United EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.85/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.56
-4% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.8 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wollongong Wolves
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Manly United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.02 xG 0.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
275 Passes 306
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Manly United Manly United 2-1 HT 1-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
06.08.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 3-1 HT 2-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
22.04.2023 Manly United Manly United 0-3 HT 0-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
25.06.2022 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-1 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
09.04.2022 Manly United Manly United 2-0 HT 1-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
22.05.2021 Manly United Manly United 1-2 HT 0-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United squeezed past Wollongong Wolves 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wollongong Wolves at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wollongong Wolves had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wollongong Wolves and 1.17 for Manly United.

What was the final score of Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United?

Wollongong Wolves 1-2 Manly United in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wollongong Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wollongong Wolves 49%, draw 24%, Manly United 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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