Ethiopia Bunna 2-0 Adama City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.27
No
66%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.6pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Adama City EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.56/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.40
+50% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Adama City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.11.2024 Adama City Adama City 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
14.04.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 HT 0-1 Adama City Adama City ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
2-0
AWAY Adama City
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna got the better of Adama City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopia Bunna as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 46% of the ball to Adama City's 54%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Adama City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 1.50 for Adama City.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama City?

Ethiopia Bunna 2-0 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 45%, draw 29%, Adama City 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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