Fasil Ketema 1-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.0pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.2pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.85/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.26
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
24.10.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
16.02.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 2-4 HT 2-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
1-1
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 34% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 41% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 59%, shots finished 3-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Nigd Bank led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fasil Ketema and 2.50 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Fasil Ketema 1-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 29%, draw 34%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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