Paju Citizen 0-1 Chuncheon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.1pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.04/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.40
-17% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
3 Corners 3
02.11.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
21.06.2024 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
09.09.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
17.05.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
30.03.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 1-2 HT 1-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GKOK
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Chuncheon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chuncheon Citizen edged past Paju Citizen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Chuncheon Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chuncheon Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Paju Citizen and 0.80 for Chuncheon Citizen.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Paju Citizen 0-1 Chuncheon Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 39%, draw 29%, Chuncheon Citizen 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paju Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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