Busan Transportation 2-1 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.73/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.37
+8% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
26.10.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-1 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
16.06.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 3-4 HT 2-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
23.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-3 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
27.05.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
02.10.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 3-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
29.05.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-2 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation nicked a narrow win over Ulsan Citizen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Busan Transportation as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Busan Transportation and 1.83 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen?

Busan Transportation 2-1 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan Transportation win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 48%, draw 32%, Ulsan Citizen 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan Transportation) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan Transportation) ✗ Under 2.5
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