Pohang Steelers 0-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
5.29
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.87
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
19%
5.24
X/2
7%
5.72
X/X
12%
3.81
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
15%
4.43
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.92/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/0.91
-27% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gwangju
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
316 Passes 425
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-3 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
13.09.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
28.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
17.03.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.12.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
13.08.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
0-1
AWAY Gwangju
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
283 Passes 296
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju nicked a narrow win over Pohang Steelers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pohang Steelers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 50% of the ball to Gwangju's 50%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pohang Steelers and 0.83 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?

Pohang Steelers 0-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 42%, draw 27%, Gwangju 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pohang Steelers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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