Gwangju 2-3 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.57
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.65
X/2
9%
7.08
X/X
15%
3.91
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.7
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.78/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.30
-47% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
409 Passes 319
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
28.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
17.03.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.12.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
13.08.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.06.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 4-2 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
2-3
AWAY Pohang Steelers
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 0
404 Passes 289
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers nicked a narrow win over Gwangju 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gwangju at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gwangju had 57% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 43%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gwangju and 1.00 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Gwangju 2-3 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 45%, draw 26%, Pohang Steelers 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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