Sagamihara 1-2 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
1.13/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.09
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 18.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Osaka
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
227 Passes 132
70% Pass Accuracy 56%
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.11.2024 Osaka Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
03.05.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
12.11.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 5-0 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
09.07.2023 Osaka Osaka 1-0 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-2
AWAY Osaka
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
280 Passes 157
75% Pass Accuracy 59%
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka edged past Sagamihara 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Osaka found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sagamihara had 58% of the ball to Osaka's 42%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Osaka led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sagamihara and 0.50 for Osaka.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Osaka?

Sagamihara 1-2 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 33%, draw 28%, Osaka 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osaka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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