Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.58
2-3 Goals
34%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.81
6+ Goals
16%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.23
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.59
X/2
8%
9.37
X/X
9%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.6
2/2
12%
6.67
2/X
8%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.74/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.45
+33% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
493 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.3 Crosses 16.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.01 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
433 Passes 311
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.07.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
13.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
02.09.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 3-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
18.03.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
10.08.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JLK
03.08.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2-0
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.65 xG 0.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
460 Passes 528
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale got the better of Cerezo Osaka 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 46% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 54%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.65 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.33 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Cerezo Osaka?

Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 51%, draw 24%, Cerezo Osaka 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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