Yelimay Semey 1-0 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.74/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.81
-26% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kairat
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
03.08.2024 Kairat Kairat 4-1 HT 2-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
19.05.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-1 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey edged past Kairat 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kairat at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yelimay Semey and 2.50 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Kairat?

Yelimay Semey 1-0 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 26%, draw 27%, Kairat 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kairat) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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