Boyaca Chico vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Boyaca Chico v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Boyaca Chico vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Boyaca Chico 2-1 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Boyaca Chico came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Alianza Petrolera 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (29% / 36% / 35%) promised a tight game; Boyaca Chico found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Alianza Petrolera saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.96 to 1.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boyaca Chico had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Boyaca Chico against 0.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
Boyaca Chico vs Alianza Petrolera Result & Final Score
Boyaca Chico 2 - 1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Boyaca Chico vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 29%, draw 36%, Alianza Petrolera 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.