Aguilas Doradas 2-1 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.87
Draw
32%
3.02
Away
37%
2.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.69
Over
42%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aguilas Doradas The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional The Market 42%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.21 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
1.20 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
311 Passes 230
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 5
06.08.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
05.02.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
05.10.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOLK
28.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
31.08.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
05.06.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2 - 1
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.48 xG 1.32
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
167 Passes 358
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 28
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aguilas Doradas edged past Atletico Nacional 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

From a near-even 31% / 32% / 37% read, it was Aguilas Doradas who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Aguilas Doradas had 36% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 64%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 1.48 to 1.32.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.67 for Atletico Nacional.

Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional Result & Final Score

Aguilas Doradas 2 - 1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aguilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 31%, draw 32%, Atletico Nacional 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5
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