Smiltene 3-1 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 18 May 2025

Smiltene
3 - 1 HT 2 - 0
Ogre United
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Smiltene vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.91
Draw
12%
5.28
Away Pick
76%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
Over
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
42%
4-5
32%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
1%
2/2
50%
2/X
2%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Smiltene v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Smiltene The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United The Market 75%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.77
2.37 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.73
Great Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Great
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Smiltene vs Ogre United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ogre United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-2 Ogre United Ogre United LET1
29.06.2024 Ogre United Ogre United 2-2 HT 2-2 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
REVIEW Smiltene vs Ogre United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Smiltene beat Ogre United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

File this under upsets: a 75% lean on Ogre United went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ogre United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Smiltene and 2.00 for Ogre United.

Smiltene vs Ogre United Result & Final Score

Smiltene 3 - 1 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Smiltene vs Ogre United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ogre United win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 12%, draw 12%, Ogre United 75%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ogre United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ogre United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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