Smiltene 0-2 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

Smiltene
0-2
Ogre United
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Smiltene vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.8pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.4pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Smiltene v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 49%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-89% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Smiltene vs Ogre United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ogre United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
29.06.2024 Ogre United 2-2 HT 2-2 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United saw off Smiltene 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ogre United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Ogre United?

Smiltene 0-2 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ogre United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 31%, draw 30%, Ogre United 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ogre United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ogre United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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