JFK Ventspils 1-2 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
52%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 53%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.24/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.00
+0% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Skanste
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.06.2024 Skanste Skanste 3-0 HT 3-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
12.11.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 0-1 HT 0-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste edged past JFK Ventspils 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Skanste as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Skanste led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for JFK Ventspils and 2.00 for Skanste.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Skanste?

JFK Ventspils 1-2 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated an Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 26%, draw 22%, Skanste 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skanste), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skanste) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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