29/06/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
25%
Draw
28%
33%
Away Win
26%
58%
Under 2.5
57%
42%
Over 2.5
43%
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
61%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Skanste v JFK Ventspils — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Skanste
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
JFK Ventspils
EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+6% /
+6%
0.43/0.57
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
-79%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-27%
/
+123%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
302 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Skanste
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
JFK Ventspils
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
12.11.2023
JFK Ventspils
0-1
HT 0-0
Skanste
LET1
0-1
HT 0-0
Skanste
LET1
POST-MATCH
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Skanste swept aside JFK Ventspils 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Skanste as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Skanste vs JFK Ventspils?
Skanste 3-0 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Skanste vs JFK Ventspils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Skanste 42%, draw 25%, JFK Ventspils 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skanste), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Skanste)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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LET1
More Latvia - 1st Division
29 Jun 2024