Cusco FC 3-3 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-12.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.69/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.57
+9% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
18.5 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cultural San
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 0.90
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
316 Passes 198
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.10.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 Cultural San Cultural San PER
04.05.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 2-0 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
3-3
AWAY Cultural San
3.48 xG 1.77
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 0
539 Passes 211
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 6
41 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC and Cultural San shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cusco FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 70% of the ball to Cultural San's 30%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 3.48 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cusco FC and 1.50 for Cultural San.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Cultural San?

Cusco FC 3-3 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 46%, draw 26%, Cultural San 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cusco FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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