ES Tunis 3-1 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 18 May 2025

ES Tunis
3-1 HT 3-0
Zarzis
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Tunisia - Cup – 2024/2025

ES Tunis vs Zarzis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.3
Draw
30%
4.62
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.75
No
48%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
73%
-22.9pp
30%
Draw
19%
+11.7pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+11.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
32%
+19.3pp
48%
BTTS No
68%
-19.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ES Tunis v Zarzis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis EU Bookmakers 11%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+92% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

ES Tunis vs Zarzis Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zarzis
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
19.02.2025 ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-2 HT 2-2 Zarzis Zarzis TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis beat Zarzis 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Zarzis?

ES Tunis 3-1 Zarzis in the Tunisia - Cup on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 50%, draw 30%, Zarzis 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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