ES Tunis 4-2 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.75
No
59%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.65
2-3 Goals
46%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.95
6+ Goals
7%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.2pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+8.4pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.94/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.89
+20% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +71%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis got the better of Zarzis 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Zarzis?

ES Tunis 4-2 Zarzis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 55%, draw 25%, Zarzis 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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