US Tataouine 2-1 Ben Guerdane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
38%
3.04
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.6pp
38%
Draw
29%
+8.3pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 49%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.09/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+24% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Tataouine
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ben Guerdane
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1
22.05.2024 US Tataouine US Tataouine 2-1 HT 0-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
25.02.2024 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-0 HT 0-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN
23.04.2023 US Tataouine US Tataouine 1-1 HT 1-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
06.04.2022 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-0 HT 0-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1
31.03.2021 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-1 HT 1-0 US Tataouine US Tataouine TUN1
POST-MATCH US Tataouine vs Ben Guerdane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Tataouine nicked a narrow win over Ben Guerdane 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 38% / 34% — and on the day US Tataouine made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for US Tataouine and 0.83 for Ben Guerdane.

What was the final score of US Tataouine vs Ben Guerdane?

US Tataouine 2-1 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Tataouine vs Ben Guerdane?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split US Tataouine 28%, draw 38%, Ben Guerdane 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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