Stade Tunisien 1-3 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 19 Feb 2025

📅19/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
35%
2.63
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.22
Over 2.5
32%
3.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.55
2-3 Goals
45%
1.95
4-5 Goals
14%
9.63
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
35%
Draw
35%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
78%
-10.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
22%
+10.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.4pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.77/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.71
-21% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Tunisien
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.06.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-4 HT 1-1 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TNUSK
25.05.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN
17.03.2024 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 1-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
30.12.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1A
07.10.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
02.02.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-2 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Tunisien
1-3
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Stade Tunisien vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Du Sahel beat Stade Tunisien 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 35% / 28% — and on the day Etoile Du Sahel made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Tunisien had 60% of the ball to Etoile Du Sahel's 40%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stade Tunisien and 1.00 for Etoile Du Sahel.

What was the final score of Stade Tunisien vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Stade Tunisien 1-3 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 19/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Tunisien vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Tunisien win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Tunisien 37%, draw 35%, Etoile Du Sahel 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stade Tunisien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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