Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 Stade Tunisien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.61
Away
34%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.44
No
64%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
26%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
35%
-5.7pp
34%
Away Win
21%
+13.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
37%
-0.5pp
64%
BTTS No
63%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -56%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stade Tunisien
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2025 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 1-3 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
23.06.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-4 HT 1-1 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TNUSK
25.05.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN
17.03.2024 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 1-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
30.12.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1A
07.10.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs Stade Tunisien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien nicked a narrow win over Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Stade Tunisien found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 1.00 for Stade Tunisien.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs Stade Tunisien?

Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 Stade Tunisien in the Tunisia - Cup on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs Stade Tunisien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 36%, draw 29%, Stade Tunisien 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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