Greenville Triumph 2-2 Alta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.8pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Alta EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.30/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.35
-23% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
18.6 Crosses 7.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
2-2
AWAY Alta
1.69 xG 1.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 1
333 Passes 363
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Alta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph and Alta shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Greenville Triumph at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 49% of the ball to Alta's 51%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.69 to 1.98.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Alta?

Greenville Triumph 2-2 Alta in the USA - USL League 1 on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Alta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 46%, draw 27%, Alta 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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