AFC Malmö 0-1 Tvaaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 18 May 2026

📅18/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.03
Over 2.5
40%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
45%
+14.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
55%
-14.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.91/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.33
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Tvaaker
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 AFC Malmö 4-1 HT 3-1 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
08.06.2024 Tvaaker Tvaaker 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
19.08.2023 AFC Malmö 0-1 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
29.04.2023 Tvaaker Tvaaker 0-1 HT 0-1 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
0-1
AWAY Tvaaker
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tvaaker edged past AFC Malmö 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Malmö at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 55% of the ball to Tvaaker's 45%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AFC Malmö had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for AFC Malmö and 0.50 for Tvaaker.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Tvaaker?

AFC Malmö 0-1 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 1st Division on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Tvaaker?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 44%, draw 30%, Tvaaker 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Malmö), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
18 May 2026
20:00 Angelholm vs Kristianstads FF Analysis →
20:00 Laholms FK vs Rosengard Analysis →
20:30 AFC Eskilstuna vs Arlanda Analysis →