Grotta 1-3 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 18 May 2026

📅18/05/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
16%
3.94
Away
62%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.3pp
16%
Draw
22%
-5.6pp
62%
Away Win
57%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grotta EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 61%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.02/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.15
-16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
270 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grotta
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Afturelding
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2026 Afturelding Afturelding 2-0 HT 0-0 Grotta Grotta İZLK
18.07.2024 Grotta Grotta 1-4 HT 1-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
03.05.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 1-1 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
02.08.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 1-1 HT 0-1 Grotta Grotta İZL1
26.05.2023 Grotta Grotta 2-3 HT 1-3 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
25.02.2023 Grotta Grotta 1-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grotta
1-3
AWAY Afturelding
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grotta vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding beat Grotta 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Afturelding as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grotta had 52% of the ball to Afturelding's 48%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afturelding led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grotta and 2.00 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Grotta vs Afturelding?

Grotta 1-3 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grotta vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Grotta 22%, draw 16%, Afturelding 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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