Kerala Blasters 2-1 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 18 May 2026

📅18/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.00/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.14
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
223 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.7 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Goa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.24 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
328 Passes 335
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 FC Goa FC Goa 2-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
28.11.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
25.02.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 4-2 HT 0-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
03.12.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
22.01.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-1 HT 2-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
13.11.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
2-1
AWAY FC Goa
0.95 xG 1.07
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
233 Passes 410
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerala Blasters nicked a narrow win over FC Goa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Kerala Blasters made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 39% of the ball to FC Goa's 61%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.95 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kerala Blasters and 1.67 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa?

Kerala Blasters 2-1 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 34%, draw 27%, FC Goa 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Goa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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