Al Mokawloon 1-1 Wadi Degla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 18 May 2026

📅18/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
5.11
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.9pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.05/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.09
-18% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.2 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Wadi Degla
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.58 xG 1.45
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
218 Passes 328
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2026 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
25.04.2025 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR2
15.12.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR2
22.04.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-0 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
16.12.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
07.09.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
1-1
AWAY Wadi Degla
1.77 xG 0.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
231 Passes 209
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon and Wadi Degla couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 53% of the ball to Wadi Degla's 47%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.77 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Mokawloon and 0.50 for Wadi Degla.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla?

Al Mokawloon 1-1 Wadi Degla in the Egypt - Premier League on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Wadi Degla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 33%, draw 32%, Wadi Degla 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wadi Degla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
18 May 2026
17:00 El Geish vs Pharco Analysis →
17:00 Kahraba Ismailia vs Haras El Hodood Analysis →
20:00 Ghazl El Mehalla vs Sakandary Analysis →