El Geish 1-0 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 18 May 2026

📅18/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
6.54
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.7pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.40/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.01
-38% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.9 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Pharco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.84 xG 0.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
228 Passes 267
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2026 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSRLK
19.08.2025 Pharco Pharco 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
26.01.2025 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
20.07.2024 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
25.02.2024 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
16.05.2023 El Geish El Geish 2-2 HT 1-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
1-0
AWAY Pharco
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish nicked a narrow win over Pharco 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had El Geish as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Geish had 52% of the ball to Pharco's 48%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for El Geish and 0.50 for Pharco.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Pharco?

El Geish 1-0 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split El Geish 45%, draw 33%, Pharco 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Geish), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Geish) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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