Wake vs Tobacco Road Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wake v Tobacco Road — Team-Based Signals
Wake vs Tobacco Road Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-3
Wake
USL2
0-3
HT 0-2
Tobacco Road
USL2
Tobacco Road cruised past Wake 6-2 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Tobacco Road found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Wake and 2.00 for Tobacco Road.
What was the final score of Wake vs Tobacco Road?
Wake 2-6 Tobacco Road in the USA - USL League 2 on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wake vs Tobacco Road?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tobacco Road win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wake 39%, draw 21%, Tobacco Road 40%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobacco Road), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.