Wake vs Tobacco Road Prediction — Model Probabilities
Wake v Tobacco Road — Team-Based Signals
Wake vs Tobacco Road Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Tobacco Road made light work of Wake 6-2 away from home. A 8-goal game — the defences never settled.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Tobacco Road as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.80 a game for Wake against 2.00 for Tobacco Road.
Wake vs Tobacco Road Result & Final Score
Wake 2 - 6 Tobacco Road in the USA - USL League 2 on 18/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Wake vs Tobacco Road Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Tobacco Road win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wake 31%, draw 23%, Tobacco Road 46%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobacco Road), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.