Tobacco Road 2-2 Wake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 22 Jun 2025

Tobacco Road
2-2 HT 1-2
Wake
📅22/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2025

Tobacco Road vs Wake Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+10.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.3pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tobacco Road v Wake — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Wake EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +62%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tobacco Road vs Wake Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobacco Road
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Wake
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
The Meetings
20.06.2024 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 4-1 HT 2-1 Wake Wake USL2
06.06.2024 Wake Wake 3-0 HT 3-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
01.07.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 1-3 HT 1-3 Wake Wake USL2
20.05.2023 Wake Wake 0-3 HT 0-2 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
POST-MATCH Tobacco Road vs Wake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobacco Road and Wake shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Tobacco Road at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tobacco Road and 1.75 for Wake.

What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs Wake?

Tobacco Road 2-2 Wake in the USA - USL League 2 on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs Wake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobacco Road win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 54%, draw 18%, Wake 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tobacco Road) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tobacco Road) ✓ Over 2.5
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