The Villages 1-0 Sporting JAX — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 22 Jun 2025

The Villages
1-0 HT 0-0
Sporting JAX
📅22/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2025

The Villages vs Sporting JAX Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

The Villages v Sporting JAX — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Villages EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting JAX EU Bookmakers 45%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+22% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

The Villages 1-0 Sporting JAX — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Villages
1-0
AWAY Sporting JAX
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH The Villages vs Sporting JAX
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Villages nicked a narrow win over Sporting JAX 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting JAX at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, The Villages had 39% of the ball to Sporting JAX's 61%, shots finished 8-17.

What was the final score of The Villages vs Sporting JAX?

The Villages 1-0 Sporting JAX in the USA - USL League 2 on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Villages vs Sporting JAX?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting JAX win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split The Villages 32%, draw 22%, Sporting JAX 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting JAX), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting JAX) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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