Shenzhen FC 1-2 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.97
1/2
12%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.89
X/2
9%
5.73
X/X
19%
4.44
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
13%
3.81
2/X
4%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 40%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.32/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.16
+26% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
26.3 Crosses 18.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.89 xG 2.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
291 Passes 402
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 4-1 HT 3-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
14.04.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
29.10.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
03.07.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
26.11.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
28.08.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 5-1 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
1-2
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.02 xG 2.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
387 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns edged past Shenzhen FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Wuhan Three Towns made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 58% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 42%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.02 to 2.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wuhan Three Towns's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shenzhen FC and 3.00 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Shenzhen FC 1-2 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 35%, draw 31%, Wuhan Three Towns 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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