Hogaborgs BK 3-2 Österlen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
31%
+9.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Österlen EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -34%
1.49/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.06
-4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
277 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Österlen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
26.05.2024 Österlen Österlen 2-1 HT 0-1 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs Österlen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK edged past Österlen 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Hogaborgs BK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hogaborgs BK and 1.00 for Österlen.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs Österlen?

Hogaborgs BK 3-2 Österlen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs Österlen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 40%, draw 23%, Österlen 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hogaborgs BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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