Hogaborgs BK 2-0 Österlen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.61
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.1pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Österlen EU Bookmakers 46%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.51/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.54
+48% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Österlen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.05.2024 Österlen Österlen 2-1 HT 0-1 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hogaborgs BK
2-0
AWAY Österlen
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs Österlen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK saw off Österlen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Hogaborgs BK made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hogaborgs BK had 44% of the ball to Österlen's 56%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs Österlen?

Hogaborgs BK 2-0 Österlen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs Österlen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 34%, draw 26%, Österlen 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Österlen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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